Prognostication Is Not Always My Gift

I was partially right about my Iowa predictions. On the Republican side, I got the Huckabee-Romney combination as 1-2, but Thompson eked ahead of McCain, which I did not foresee.

On the Democratic side, I was really right about one thing: Edwards and Clinton would be very close. And so they were (29.75% to 29.47%). But Obama won—I did not anticipate that at all. And I still don't think he will capture his party's nomination.

This, combined with my NFL prognostication skills, remind me again why I do not gamble.